Middle East and Africa Solar PV Demand to Grow by 50 Percent in 2014, According to NPD Solarbuzz

Saudi Arabia to become leading PV country in 2016, driving the MEA market to 4.4 GW by 2018

Santa Clara, Calif., April 24, 2014—Solar photovoltaic (PV) demand from the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is set to grow 50 percent year-over-year in 2014. Between 2014 and 2018, annual PV demand will nearly triple as the MEA region becomes a key market for the global industry, according to findings in the latest NPD Solarbuzz Emerging PV Markets Report: Middle East and Africa. By 2018, annual PV demand in the MEA region is expected to reach 4.4 GW, with an upside potential of 10 GW.

PV demand from the MEA region in 2013 grew by 670 percent, compared to 2012 when the region added approximately 140 MW. Previously, the region had a substantial share of small off-grid PV systems; however, in 2013, the on-grid segment became the main factor driving growth to more than 1 GW, with 1.6 GW forecast for 2014. In 2018, ground-mount systems will account for over 70 percent of the market.

Until now, PV growth in the MEA region has been predominantly driven by a small number of economically prosperous countries, in particular South Africa and Israel. Along with Saudi Arabia, these three countries are expected to offer stable demand levels within the MEA region over the next few years.

“Solar PV represents an ideal renewable energy type across much of the Middle East and Africa,” noted Susanne von Aichberger, analyst at NPD Solarbuzz. “Even so, market drivers and constraints differ greatly between the two regions.”

Figure: MEA Annual PV Demand Forecast

Source: NPD Solarbuzz Emerging PV Markets Report: Middle East and Africa

In most of the Middle East, renewable energy is seen as a means of preserving domestic oil and gas reserves. Middle East PV demand is forecast to reach 2.2 GW in 2018, with an upside potential of 4 GW. Israel is projected to be the largest PV market in the Middle East in 2014, mainly through solar parks and rooftop systems, based on net-metering.

Saudi Arabia’s ambitious renewables program will finally start to materialize this year, making it the largest PV market in the MEA region by 2016. Saudi Arabia is forecast to add 2.4 GW of new PV capacity between 2016 and 2018. Other key solar PV markets in the Middle East include the United Arab Emirates, Jordan, and Kuwait.

With a severe shortage of electricity within Africa, in general, and large parts of the population of Sub-Saharan Africa having no access to electricity, solar PV is considered suitable for helping to stimulate social and economic development in the region. PV demand from Africa is forecast to reach 2.2 GW by 2018, with an upside potential of 6 GW.

In 2014, African PV demand will continue to be dominated by South Africa, due to the construction of large-scale PV projects resulting from the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Program (REIPPP). “In the past 12 months, new plans for large PV projects have emerged across Africa, including the sub-Saharan countries of Cameroon, Swaziland, and Uganda,” added von Aichberger. “Announcements of PV projects in the 100 megawatts range have now become common, as a means of expanding power generation capacity quickly.”

For more information about the NPD Solarbuzz Emerging PV Markets Report: Middle East and Africa, contact Charles Camaroto at 888-436-7673 or 516-625-2452, or e-mail contact@displaysearch.com.

About NPD Solarbuzz
NPD Solarbuzz, part of The NPD Group, offers Marketbuzz, Solarbuzz Quarterly, and annual downstream photovoltaic (PV) market reports, providing the solar energy and PV industries with global historical and forecast data for the PV supply chain. For more information, visit www.solarbuzz.com or follow us on Twitter at @Solarbuzz. 

About The NPD Group, Inc.
The NPD Group provides global information and advisory services to drive better business decisions. By combining unique data assets with unmatched industry expertise, we help our clients track their markets, understand consumers, and drive profitable growth. Practice areas include automotive, beauty, consumer electronics, entertainment, fashion, food/foodservice, home, luxury, mobile, office supplies, sports, technology, toys, and video games. For more information, visit npd.com and npdgroupblog.com. Follow us on Twitter at @npdtech and @npdgroup.

NPD Solarbuzz and Marketbuzz are registered trademarks of The NPD Group.

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